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The global growth divergence

Global growth is diverging. The U.S. continues to outperform with above-trend growth driven by strong data center and AI-related CapEx, while the UK and Eurozone face weaker momentum. Structural differences are widening the gap and shaping investor strategy for 2026.

Market Update

FOMC reduces rates “well within neutral”

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Interest Rate Risk Management
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Fiscal & Monetary Policy

On Wednesday, December 10, 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted to lower the fed funds rate by 25 basis points, establishing a new target range of 3.50% - 3.75%. Governors Goolsbee and Schmid favored holding rates, while governor Miran voted to lower the target range by 50 bps,...

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Capital markets: what corporate leaders should watch as markets gear up for 2026

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Private Equity
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Capital markets are shifting from crisis-era headwinds to steady progress, tighter spreads, and more financing choices. This article unpacks what that means for corporate leaders, sponsors, and real asset investors heading into 2026.

Article

Is Kevin Hassett the frontrunner to replace Powell?

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Interest Rate Risk Management
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Fiscal & Monetary Policy

U.S. equities rose modestly last week. The S&P 500 gained 0.4% for a 3.0% quarterly return and 18.2% year to date. Markets hold a 90% likelihood of a 25 bp cut at this week’s Fed meeting, but policymakers remain divided. The 10-year yield rose to 4.14%.

Market Update

Markets gain despite a split fed decision

Corporates
Financial Institutions
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Interest Rate Risk Management
Foreign Currency Risk Management
Fiscal & Monetary Policy

U.S. markets rose last week on a short week due to the Thanksgiving holiday. The S&P gained 3.7%, bringing the monthly return barely positive at 0.2%. The year-to-date return is now 17.8%. Thin holiday liquidity and a brief futures outage on Friday (CME data-center issue) added noise but didn’t...

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Risk mitigation accounting

The International Accounting Standards Board (“IASB”) is preparing to launch a major consultation on Risk Mitigation Accounting, the proposed new hedge accounting approach under IFRS 9 designed to better reflect dynamic, portfolio-level interest rate risk management. With the Exposure Draft...

Article

Markets whipsaw and end the week down

Corporates
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Private Equity
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Foreign Currency Risk Management
Interest Rate Risk Management
Fiscal & Monetary Policy

Markets fluctuated last week as shifting Fed expectations and renewed debate over AI valuations drove volatility. The September jobs report showed stronger-than-expected job growth alongside rising unemployment. The S&P 500 declined 1.9% on the week and is down 3.4% on the month, though still up...

Article

The treacherous final mile: why embedded inflation is harder to beat

Corporates
Financial Institutions
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Interest Rate Risk Management
Foreign Currency Risk Management

Central banks in the U.K. and U.S. struggle to hit the 2% inflation target because price increases have become domestically entrenched (especially in the U.K. via wages), creating a risky dilemma: holding rates too high harms economic growth, but cutting too soon risks permanently high inflation.

Article

Navigating a fractured age: markets, policy, and opportunity

Corporates
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Private Equity
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Interest Rate Risk Management
Foreign Currency Risk Management

World markets aren’t de-globalising—they’re realigning. Economist Neil Shearing joined Chatham to explore how this fracturing is reshaping trade, capital flows, and policy, and why disciplined hedging matters more than ever.

Article

Record shutdown ends; Fed in focus

Corporates
Financial Institutions
Infrastructure
Insurance
Private Equity
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Interest Rate Risk Management
Foreign Currency Risk Management
Fiscal & Monetary Policy

With the government shutdown over, attention shifted to catching up on delayed data and new economic releases. Recent comments from Federal Reserve officials reduced the likelihood of a third rate cut this year, prompting markets to sell off late last week. The S&P 500 ended nearly unchanged, up...

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