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Market Update
Inflation cools, yields decline, oil surges
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- Interest Rate Risk Management
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Investors welcomed the news of both CPI and PPI surprising to the downside. However, some of that optimism quickly abated as jobless claims ticked higher and tensions in the Middle East flared. Yields declined on the week, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield down 10 bps, closing at 4.41%.... -
Article
Labor market remains resilient, equities and yields rise
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It was a busy week, and while reports remain mixed with several pointing to a slowing economy, there are also reasons for optimism. The highly anticipated jobs report added to the optimism, at least on the surface. The labor market continues to appear resilient, with the unemployment rate holding... -
Article
Consumer confidence rebounds, yields decline
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There was plenty to digest this past week with the trend of mixed economic signals continuing. Consumer confidence jumped as the data is now starting to capture the May 12 announcement of a pause on some tariffs with China. Overall, markets reacted favorably on the week, with the S&P 500... -
Market Update
Yields trend higher while new tax bill impacts markets
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As the House passed its version of the tax bill and a renewed threat of tariffs on the EU emerged, markets responded unfavorably with the S&P 500 retreating -2.58%. The bond market caught investor attention as yields trended higher, with the 10-year Treasury closing the week at 4.52% -
Market Update
The U-shaped yield curve explained: What it means for rates, recession, and strategy
In this episode of Expert Conversations: Beyond, Reuben Daniels and Laura Grant explore the rare U-shaped yield curve, seen only 3% of the time in the past 50 years. What does this unusual shape suggest about the future of interest rates and the broader economy? How should financial leaders... -
Article
Economic data remains mixed, yields rise, and equities post strong gains
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- Interest Rate Risk Management
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- Fiscal & Monetary Policy
There were several economic data releases last week, and while they remain mixed, markets responded favorably. The S&P 500 posted a 5.33% return on the week with most of those gains following the ease of trade tensions between the U.S. and China. The 10-year yield finished the week 10 bps higher... -
Market Update
Fed holds rates steady as markets await development surrounding U.S. trade policy
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- Interest Rate Risk Management
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- Fiscal & Monetary Policy
Although it was a relatively light week for economic reporting, it proved to be very busy. Investors focused keenly on the Fed, which left rates unchanged, in line with market expectations. Chair Powell noted an increase in uncertainty since the last policy meeting and reiterated his belief the... -
Article
The U-shaped yield curve: a rare signal with significant implications
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- Capital Advisory
- Interest Rate Risk Management
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In the world of fixed income, the shape of the yield curve always tells a story — and the current yield curve is showing something we rarely see — a U-shape. It’s a unique situation, and positioning for it can be critical for both issuers and investors. -
Article
BoE and ECB cut interest rates amid tariff related growth concerns
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The Bank of England (BoE) cut interest rates by 25 basis points today, citing concerns over Donald Trump’s tariff policies on economic growth. However, the bank’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) was unexpectedly split three-ways in its decision as it faces the more unpredictable... -
Article
FOMC holds rates as market uncertainty remains elevated
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- Fiscal & Monetary Policy
On Wednesday, May 7, 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted unanimously to hold the fed funds rate at a target range of 4.25% - 4.50%. The FOMC statement mentioned an increase in uncertainty around the economic outlook since the last meeting. The Fed board believes its monetary...
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