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Term SOFR, Fallback Rate (SOFR), and Treasury Forward Curves

The Term SOFR forward curves represent market-implied future settings for 1-month and 3-month Term SOFR, index rates commonly used in floating rate commercial real estate and corporate financings. The 1-month Fallback Rate (SOFR) forward curve represents market-implied future settings for 1-month Fallback Rate (SOFR), an index rate prescribed to be used in legacy floating-rate contracts by the Adjustable Interest Rate (LIBOR) Act. The Treasury forward curves represent market-implied future yields of on-the-run U.S. Treasury notes of different tenors. Each curve is derived from observable market data, including futures contracts, market swap rates, and current outstanding Treasury instruments. Forward curves are often useful for forecasting and underwriting floating- and fixed-rate debt or for calculating yield maintenance but should not be viewed as predictive of actual future interest rates. Contact us to speak with an expert.

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Each FOMC member indicates their view of the midpoint of the appropriate target range of the federal funds rate at the end of each of the next three years and over the longer run assuming a normalization of monetary policy. The FOMC has updated this "Fed Dot Plot" quarterly since January 2012.

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USD LIBOR Forward Curve Hairy Chart
Guide

See how past forward curve projections have stacked up

Review our "hairy charts" for an analysis showing 1-month USD LIBOR, 3-month GBP LIBOR, and 3-month EURIBOR forward curves versus actual rate fixings over time.

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Market Rates and Calculators

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    Real Estate | Denver, CO

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    Hedging and Capital Markets

    Real Estate | London

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Disclaimers

Chatham Hedging Advisors, LLC (CHA) is a subsidiary of Chatham Financial Corp. and provides hedge advisory, accounting and execution services related to swap transactions in the United States. CHA is registered with the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) as a commodity trading advisor and is a member of the National Futures Association (NFA); however, neither the CFTC nor the NFA have passed upon the merits of participating in any advisory services offered by CHA. For further information, please visit chathamfinancial.com/legal-notices.

Transactions in over-the-counter derivatives (or “swaps”) have significant risks, including, but not limited to, substantial risk of loss. You should consult your own business, legal, tax and accounting advisers with respect to proposed swap transaction and you should refrain from entering into any swap transaction unless you have fully understood the terms and risks of the transaction, including the extent of your potential risk of loss. This material has been prepared by a sales or trading employee or agent of Chatham Hedging Advisors and could be deemed a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction. This material is not a research report prepared by Chatham Hedging Advisors. If you are not an experienced user of the derivatives markets, capable of making independent trading decisions, then you should not rely solely on this communication in making trading decisions. All rights reserved.

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ICE BENCHMARK ADMINISTRATION LIMITED MAKES NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, EITHER AS TO THE RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED FROM THE USE OF ICE LIBOR AND/OR THE FIGURE AT WHICH ICE LIBOR STANDS AT ANY PARTICULAR TIME ON ANY PARTICULAR DAY OR OTHERWISE. ICE BENCHMARK ADMINISTRATION LIMITED MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE IN RESPECT OF ANY USE OF ICE LIBOR.